Blog

Oct 2025

Powering São Paulo: The Solar Revolution and OpenWeather's Forecasts

WEATHER

Sao Paulo

Brazil is one of the global leaders in renewable energy, and its commitment to clean power is transforming the national grid. While hydropower has long been the backbone of the country's electricity supply, a significant shift is underway. The rapid expansion of solar and wind energy is diversifying the energy mix, making the system more resilient and sustainable. For example, in 2024, solar power's contribution to Brazil's electricity generation more than tripled its share from five years earlier, showing a clear trajectory of growth. This energy transition is particularly visible near major urban centres like São Paulo, where large-scale solar projects are becoming a critical component of the regional power supply.

The Challenges of Solar Power Generation

The sun provides a powerful, clean, and free source of energy, but harnessing it efficiently presents a unique challenge: its availability is not constant. A solar power plant’s output is highly dependent on meteorological conditions. Factors like cloud cover, temperature, and atmospheric aerosols directly influence how much solar radiation reaches the panels. This variability means that a clear, sunny morning can produce a surge of electricity, while a sudden, unexpected cloudburst can cause a sharp drop in generation. For utility companies and energy firms, accurately predicting these fluctuations is essential for managing the grid. They must balance the intermittent nature of solar power with the continuous demand for electricity from homes and businesses.

Forecasting the Sun's Energy

To address this challenge, energy companies rely on a range of sophisticated tools and data. One of the most critical is a robust weather data API. A power project near São Paulo, for instance, could use meteorological insights to forecast its daily energy output with precision. This allows them to make informed decisions about how much power to feed into the grid and when to activate other energy sources to fill any potential gaps.

Key data points are necessary for accurate solar forecasting:

  • Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI): This measures the total solar radiation received by a horizontal surface on the ground. It is the fundamental metric for understanding potential solar energy.
  • Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI): This measures the solar radiation that travels directly in a straight line from the sun. It's crucial for concentrating solar power systems.
  • Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHI): This is the solar radiation scattered by the atmosphere and clouds. Even on a cloudy day, there's still a significant amount of DHI, which panels can convert into electricity.

OpenWeather offers a comprehensive and customizable solution as part of the Energy Dashboard  that provides these specific metrics, plus many others that are specific to your exact requirements.  A large solar farm can obtain real-time, historical, and forecast data for its exact location. By analyzing this information, the energy firm can develop a detailed model of expected output. They can compare the Clear Sky model data—what solar radiation would be under a cloudless sky—with the Cloudy Sky model data, which accounts for real-world conditions. This comparison helps them quantify the impact of current and forecasted weather conditions on their production.

Balancing the Grid with Hourly Forecasts

Beyond understanding the total solar potential, knowing when that energy will be produced is equally important. An energy firm needs to know not only if a cloudy day is coming but also the specific hour those clouds will arrive and how long they will last. The OpenWeather's Energy Dashboard can be used to give the exact information needed, no matter the global location.

By requesting hourly weather data for the solar farm's coordinates, the utility can predict minute-by-minute changes in solar output. For example, they can see a forecast that shows an increase in cloud cover at 2 p.m., followed by a drop in temperature and a rise in wind speed. This allows them to proactively prepare for a decrease in solar generation and seamlessly activate backup power sources before demand outpaces supply. This forward-looking approach ensures the grid remains stable for the millions of people who depend on it for uninterrupted power.

The combination of the Solar Radiation Data and Hourly Forecasts allows for a sophisticated approach to grid management. The utility can maximize the use of clean, renewable energy while guaranteeing reliability. It transforms the intermittent nature of solar power into a predictable and manageable resource.

A Brighter Future for Brazil

The growth of solar energy in Brazil is a positive step toward a sustainable future. Projects near São Paulo are a prime example of how clean energy can power a major metropolis. The success of these projects is not only about the installation of solar panels but also about the intelligent application of data. By leveraging products like OpenWeather's Solar Radiation Data and Hourly Forecasts, energy companies can optimize their operations, reduce reliance on fossil fuels, and ensure a stable, clean, and efficient power supply for generations to come. This fusion of weather intelligence and renewable technology is a powerful formula for a brighter future.